TORONTO — With March Break just over a month away, new stats from aviation-data provider Cirium show just how much Canadian travel preferences have changed in these new-normal times for Canada-U.S. relations.

While the Sunshine State is typically a magnet for Canadians travelling for March Break, Cirium’s data shows that forward air bookings from Canadian origin cities to Florida (including FLL, PBI, MCO, MIA, SRQ, TPA, RSW) are down −23.34% across airlines and all fare classes, for March 2026 compared to March 2025.

Cirium’s data is based on forward air bookings made Oct. 7, 2025 – Jan. 31, 2026, versus Oct. 7, 2024 – Jan. 31, 2025.

The slump in Canadian travel to the U.S. has been the new reality for travellers and the travel industry for just about a year now. Yesterday The Walt Disney Company cited “headwinds” with international visitation at its theme parks, and CFO Hugh Johnston noted the company is focusing more of its marketing efforts on domestic travellers.

Cirium also ran airline booking data for the same March 2026 vs. March 2025 comparison time frame and booking windows, for forward air bookings from eight major Canadian airports (i.e. YYR, YEG, YYC, YWG, YYZ, YOW, YUL and YHZ) to U.S. destinations. That’s also down, by −15.16%.

Cirium’s data comes from a range of third-party sources, primarily OTAs and GDSs. It does not provide booking data information from the airlines directly, and as Cirium notes, some airlines do not sell through the GDS or OTAs. “Only the airlines know with any certainty what their bookings look like,” as Cirium notes.